转型时期社会心态的预警与调适——基于L市213份样本的调查分析

我国正处于社会转型期,经济体制的深刻变革与利益格局的调整容易引发社会心态的失衡与畸变,从而影响社会的和谐稳定.因而,在充分把握当前社会心态变化趋势的基础上,迫切需要通过发展民生,建立有效的社会沟通机制,重视社会主导价值观建设,完善心态预警监测机制等举措改善社会心态环境,防范和降低社会风险.     

The Future of ＂Made in China＂

SINCE its emergence in Guangdong Province in 1978, the processing trade in China has developed rapidly. The processing trade refers to the process by which raw and auxiliary materials, parts and components, accessories and packaging materials are imported from abroad and used to produce a finished product which are then re-exported. In 1996, the processing trade became the principal form of international     

技术冲击、非技术冲击与中国劳动就业的实证分析

运用结构向量自回归(SVAR)方法,将技术冲击和非技术冲击对中国劳动就业的动态效应进行实证分析,得出的主要结论有:劳动就业对正向技术冲击的反应为先立即下降,随后持续上升并回到初始状态,而对正向非技术冲击的反应呈现出在一定时期内先升后降的驼峰形特征,且具有短期效应;生产率水平对技术冲击的反应在一定时期内表现出持续上升的驼峰特征,且具有长期效应,而对正向非技术冲击的反应为先立即上升,后持续下降回到原状态,且具有短期效应;劳动就业波动的根源是由技术冲击和非技术冲击共同引起的,两者都起到一定作用.这些结论对我国当前调整宏观经济政策,以促进劳动就业具有重要的启示.     

我国行业利益集团对规制政策制定过程的影响

规制政策本质上具有对公民和企业的权利进行分配或再分配的特点,中国国际快递委员会通过重点运用游说策略,综合利用智库、媒体等渠道,对快递业的规制政策制定施加了影响,有力地抵制了国家邮政局和邮政企业“政企同盟”的政策意图。因此,如何在今后的利益集团博弈中构筑一个各方充分参与的制度性平台,将成为今后政治体制改革的重要课题。     

韩国行政规制基本法的制定与实施

韩国行政规制基本法的制定与实施@李秀峰$中国青年政治学院!北京100089 @陈晔$中国青年政治学院!北京100089~~     

宗教旅游"场域":冲突与共赢策略——基于我国宗教旅游景点开发问题的思考

在我国宗教旅游开发中,对于宗教文化中的物质性和非物质性的旅游资源开发,往往各相关利益主体间存有分歧和冲突.建立宗教旅游"场域"间的主体自觉参与和协调机制,对于调适主体间冲突,实现"场域"的共建共赢具有重要性.     

Organizational Formations of Organized Crime in China: perspectives from the state,markets, and networks

Chinese lawmakers and law-enforcers have viewed the hierarchical structure as the defining feature of organized criminal organizations. Such a flawed framework has hampered China's recent efforts to fight organized crime. Based upon organization theory, this paper argues that by adapting to the changing institutional environment, Chinese criminal forces have chosen a variety of organizational structures ranging from hierarchy to the market and the network. The recently uncovered cases point out that networks have become a more popular organizational form than the traditional hierarchies (such as secret societies) and contractual relationships in illicit markets. By offering a classification of organizational formations of organized crime in today's China, the author suggests network analysis as a new tool to help China's law enforcement effectively respond to surging organized crime.     

骆驼金黄色葡萄球菌病的诊治

1999年68月,内蒙古阿拉善左旗某镇2户牧民的178峰骆驼暴发了以患部皮肤奇痒、出血、蜂窝织炎及皮下和肌肉出现脓疱为特征的传染病。确诊为金黄色葡萄球菌病。1　流行情况1998年10月,某镇2户牧民的178峰骆驼中陆续见有12峰骆驼散在出现皮肤脓疱,经用来苏儿涂擦患部后逐渐好转,停药后又复发。1999年68月,该2户牧民骆驼有120多峰发生本病,发病率为67.4%,死亡率为1.1%;3岁龄以上骆驼几乎全部发病,无性别差异;对病驼用大剂量青霉素治疗多数痊愈,反之病情加重或死亡。据调查,当地牧民的骆驼自承包以后10ａ多从未进行过药浴,该病及外寄生虫病时有发…     

用优秀的作品鼓舞人

代表中国先进文化的前进方向，这是中国共产党的重要任务之一。优秀作品体现了先进文化的内涵，在促进文化建设和社会全面进步中起着不可缺少的，不可替代的作用。     

TRAJECTORIES OF CRIME AT PLACES: A LONGITUDINAL STUDY OF STREET SEGMENTS IN THE CITY OF SEATTLE*

Studies of crime at micro places have generally relied on cross‐sectional data and reported the distributions of crime statistics over short periods of time. In this paper we use official crime data to examine the distribution of crime at street segments in Seattle, Washington, over a 14‐year period. We go beyond prior research in two ways. First, we view crime trends at places over a much longer period than other studies that have examined micro places. Second, we use group‐based trajectory analysis to uncover distinctive developmental trends in our data. Our findings support the view that micro places generally have stable concentrations of crime events over time. However, we also find that a relatively small proportion of places belong to groups with steeply rising or declining crime trajectories and that these places are primarily responsible for overall city trends in crime. These findings are particularly important given the more general decline in crime rates observed in Seattle and many other American cities in the 1990s. Our study suggests that the crime drop can be understood not as a general process that occurred across the city landscape but one that was generated in a relatively small group of micro places with strong declining crime trajectories over time.