领先者能否保持持久优势——大国变迁的历史分析

领先的大国在技术创新上能否保持持久的技术优势,必须从以“创造性破坏”为特征的内生增长角度考察,并用占主导地位的大国的动态变迁的历史过程加以考察分析。历史过程表明,领先者一般可以保持技术上的优势和领先地位,如果被“创造性破坏”,主要原因源于自身活力丧失。这对中国有着直接的启示:必须加强自身创新能力的培养。     

韩国1998-2001行政改革的基本经验

此次韩国行政改革在政府机构、管理制度、行政文化等相关层面施行了平衡到位相互协调的改革举措 ;改革的切入点是以职能转变为中心的政府机构重组、开放型人事制度的推开、高级公务员年薪制的试行、责任运营制度的建立、绩效管理制度的试验 ,顾客宪章制度的引进 ,以及部分公共管理事务外部委托制的探索 ;其基本经验是 ,机构改革的效度有赖于行政系统内相关要素的全面优化 ,行政改革的效度则有赖于整体改革环境的优化 ,民间专家参与是促进政府改革的重要资源 ,政府间行政架构模式决定了地方机构改革的成效。     

中日比较文学研究之现状与未来

关于中日比较文学研究,目前在国内作为热门学科发展得非常快。然而,由于该学科是在两个不同的平台上各自发展,相互之间缺少有效的统合与交流,致使中日比较文学研究出现了一些十分重大的方向性问题与方法问题。以日本文学研究在中国、中日比较文学研究之现状、中日比较文学之未来———方法论为议进行阐述,可以对中日比较文学研究之现状与未来有较为全面的了解。     

企业持久竞争优势探源：多重理论视角分析及其内在一致性

探求企业竞争优势的源泉是经济学和管理学的重要论题。围绕这个问题,迄今为止已经出现了企业资源理论、能力理论、知识理论和创新理论等诸多理论阐释。本文试图在评述这些理论的基础上,探求这些不同的理论对持久竞争优势源泉问题的解释的内在一致性,从而从理论上回答企业持久竞争优势的最根本的源泉是什么。     

发挥工会院校图书资料的作用加强工运理论研究

充分认识工会院校图书资料对加强工运理论研究的作用,发挥优势,完善服务,提高素质,为工运理论研究提供信息资源保障.     

Voting Advice Applications and the Estimation of Party Positions – A Reliable Tool?

Data contained in Voting Advice Applications (VAA s) is not only a prerequisite for the vote recommendations they provide but can also be used for estimating party positions in low‐dimensional spaces. Given that VAA s can be designed differently in terms of their number of items and their measurement level, how much can one trust the party positions obtained from this source? We tackle this question by exploiting relevant variation in a real‐world setting: three VAA s offered at the 2017 Lower Saxony election. Despite substantial design differences, the policy spaces extracted through an inductive scaling approach are highly convergent. Simulated random item removal from the pooled dataset of all three VAA s furthermore suggests that about 40 items yield satisfactory reliability of the party positions. Finally, we find that a priori assigning VAA ‐items to ideological dimensions is potentially problematic as the interpretation of resulting party spaces may differ from the ones derived inductively.     

Can We Make Accurate Long-term Predictions About Patterns of De-escalation in Offending Behavior?

This study consists of a comparative analysis of patterns of de-escalation between ages 17–18 and 32, based on data from two well-known prospective longitudinal studies, the Cambridge Study in Delinquent Development (a study of 411 working-class males in London) and the Montreal Two Samples Longitudinal Study (a sample of 470 adjudicated French-Canadian males). Analyses focus on within-individual change, with individuals serving as their own controls. In this regard, the magnitude of measured change is relative to the past degree of involvement in offending. These results are contrasted with predictors of between-individual differences in offending behavior at age 32. We investigate the respective roles of cognitive predispositions and social bonds in the prediction of patterns of de-escalation, and assess whether it is possible to make relatively long-term predictions (over a 15-year period) about offending in adulthood. Findings suggest that traditional measures of social bonds and cognitive predispositions measured at age 17–18 are generally weak predictors of de-escalation up to age 32. However, these measures are stronger predictors of between-individual differences in offending gravity. These findings highlight the difficulties in making accurate long-term predictions about changes in individual offending patterns early in the criminal career.

‘Animals first!’ The rise of animal advocacy parties in the EU: a new party family

‘Euro Animal 7’ is the name given informally to 7 animal protection parties which represent voters in Cyprus, Germany, Netherlands, Portugal, Spain, Sweden and United Kingdom. These parties contested in the 2014 European Parliament (EP) election and gained representation in Germany and the Netherlands. Animal advocacy parties are also represented in the national parliaments of Portugal and the Netherlands.

Animal protection is an emergent issue in international politics and this research offers an account of the political positioning of these animal advocacy parties, analyzing their manifestos and the election results. While acknowledging that some parties have distinct ideological traits and some are still reclusive in the form of a single-issue party, this article argues that animal advocacy parties constitute a new party family in European politics.     

青年的政策觉识与支持老年父母的关系:一项香港与上海的比较研究

这项研究探讨香港与上海两地青年的公共政策或社会责任、子孙或家庭责任、个人责任的觉识对其照顾、接纳和承担照顾父母的意愿的效应.研究结果显示:(1)对政府或社会的养老政策责任的觉识愈高者则照顾父母的意愿明显地愈高;然而,对老年人的自立生活具愈高的觉识者,其照顾父母的意愿却愈低;(2)对倡导尊敬老年人的觉识愈高和对老年人的自立生活的觉识愈低者,其接纳照顾父母的意愿愈高;(3)对政府责任的觉识愈高者和对个人责任的觉识愈低者,其承担照顾父母的意愿愈高.文章同时就倡导两地照顾或供养父母的政策启示进行讨论.     

中国特色社会主义理论体系创新思维的比较研究

邓小平、江泽民、胡锦涛的创新思维方式同马列主义经典作家的科学思维方式一样,都是时代精神的精华,都是特定时代和特定社会条件下的产物;他们的创新思维的产生有其独特的内在动因;其个性和特点既有共同的时代特征,又有鲜明的个性特征;三者在中国特色社会主义建设的伟大实践中,对当今中国都产生了极其深刻的影响。