论日本自民党派阀政治回归的必然性

日本自民党前任总裁小泉纯一郎在其当政期间采用了一系列标新立异的政治手法,使该党传统派阀政治一时间似乎面临消亡的境地。但是,小泉刚离任不久,曾经红极一时的"小泉政治"即迅速走向终结,派阀政治随之卷土重来。究其原因,小泉政治其实只是特定时期的特殊产物,而自民党的派阀则由于建立在日本社会、历史和文化基础之上,不可能轻易消亡。不过,对于自民党来说,不管是小泉政治还是派阀政治,从根本上说一切都是为了权力。     

评小泉的东亚地区合作构想

作为东亚地作为东亚地区的最大经济体,日本一直对开展地区合作态度消极,然而在其东盟5国之行中,日本首相小泉纯一郎却提出了日本的东亚地区合作设想。对此,本文首先分析了日本此次改变态度提出上述构想的种种战略和现实考虑。同时,本文指出在小泉地区合作构想中还存在着一些重大甚至根本性的问题。最后,本文展望了日本在未来东亚地区合作中的作用,提出日本成为地区合作发动机的可能性非常小。     

Evolution of the Japanese Political Scene: Toward a Non-Issue-Oriented Two-Party System?

This article examines the nature of the two-party system in Japan. The electoral reform of 1994 has finally led to an alternation of power, but contrary to the predictions of the reformers, the competition between two major Japanese parties is not based on any substantial differences in their political programs. The Liberal Democratic Party and the Democratic Party of Japan are mixtures of various groups rather than coherent parties and the main axes of struggle on the Japanese political scene run across party divisions. Both major parties are internally divided with regard to economic as well as defense policy. The most important factor of Democratic Party of Japan's identity has been the goal of achieving an alternation of power and abolishing the Liberal Democratic Party style of policymaking. Nevertheless, the discourse on political renewal has been undertaken also by the Liberal Democratic Party. While the struggle between the partisans and the opponents of Koizumi reforms continues in the Liberal Democratic Party, the Democratic Party of Japan is torn apart between the proponents of ‘big’ and ‘small’ government.     

日本首相参拜靖国神社问题评析

日本首相小泉纯一郎在上任后不到两年的时间内连续3次参拜靖国神社,这不能不引起爱好和平的人们的警 惕。本文在对小泉首相的言行进行分析的基础上,从其历史观、日本国内外形势的发展变化和某些日本政要的行为模式这 几个角度入手,尝试探讨其为何如此执著于参拜该神社的深层原因。     

日本两党制趋势分析

日本民主党在2003 年和2004 年的众参两院选举中取得了较大的胜利,其发展势头直逼执政的自民党,日本政坛企盼已久的两大政党制似乎实现有望。但是,民主党之所以胜出,并不是由于该党的方针政策获得了民心,而是得益于自民党的失策和领导人的失态。再者,从日本各政党的发展历程以及民主党的现状来看,也有理由认为真正的两大政党制还难以在近期内实现。     

透视日本小泉首相的第2次访朝

日本首相小泉闪电般地进行第 2次访朝 ,虽然有“内病外治”的作秀成分 ,未必会有助于其国内困境的解决 ,但是在打破朝日关系僵局、解决长期困扰双方的“绑架问题”方面 ,还是取得了积极的成果。同时 ,在重新确认《朝日平壤宣言》精神、重开朝日邦交正常化谈判方面 ,也并非乏善可陈。     

The debates on public investments in Japan

Since the economic bubble burst, Japan has been in a long-term recession. To stimulate the economy, improve the infrastructure and increase employment, the Japanese Government injected a substantial amount of money into public works in the 1990s. However, these public investments had limited utility but incurred huge debts. These public investments have become a controversial issue. The Japanese Government could not but promote many reforms concerning public investments. This paper focuses on Japan＇s case and introduces the debates on public investments.     

Japan’s Political Economy and Koizumi’s Structural Reform: A Rise and Fall of Neoclassical Economic Reform in Japan

For five years of his premiership, Jun’ichiro Koizumi bravely fought against politicians, bureaucrats, and interest groups to promote his structural economic reform. Fortunately, by the time he retired, Japanese economy got out of the depression. But the tide changed. In the July 2007 Upper House elections, the public was opposed to structural reform that Koizumi and Abe had advocated. Now it is not clear where Japanese political economy is likely to go. This paper will take a long-term view on the evolution of Japan’s political economy, and try to understand Jun’ichiro Koizumi’s structural reform in that long-term context.

从社会现象中透析现代日本社会的病理结构

众所周知,日本是一个狭长岛国,多火山地震和资源匮乏的国家,这也许使日本人形成了强烈的危机意识和对外界发展变化敏感关注、敏感反应的性格特征。日本明治维新以前,主要以吸纳中国文化为主,而明治维新以后主要吸收了西方资本主义文明。尽管日本二战战败不到20年的时间里发展成为经济大国,但是日本社会发展到今天,却陷入了东西方价值观念冲突的夹缝中而发生变异,这也铸成了日本社会深层的病理结构,即日本人和睦有序的社会表象背后,却是国民陷入了一种无力．矛盾的社会文化模式使得日本社会深陷在沉重的现实枷锁之中。     

挑战与应战:变化中的日本政治

伊拉克战争、朝鲜核问题的爆发和国内结构性改革步履为艰 ,使日本政治在 2 0 0 3年的变数增多。悬而未决的有事法立法、引而不发地向伊拉克派兵以及倍受瞩目的自民党总裁选举、国会的解散和众议院的大选等问题 ,都与国际危机的演进一起形成了对日本政治的冲击。以“普通国家”为目标的“小泉式”政治与外交倍受考验。日本国家的结构性转型方向尤其引人注目。