What do forensic analysts consider relevant to their decision making?

In response to research demonstrating that irrelevant contextual information can bias forensic science analyses, authorities have increasingly urged laboratories to limit analysts' access to irrelevant and potentially biasing information (Dror and Cole (2010) [3]; National Academy of Sciences (2009) [18]; President's Council of Advisors on Science and Technology (2016) [22]; UK Forensic Science Regulator (2015) [26]). However, a great challenge in implementing this reform is determining which information is task-relevant and which is task-irrelevant. In the current study, we surveyed 183 forensic analysts to examine what they consider relevant versus irrelevant in their forensic analyses. Results revealed that analysts generally do not regard information regarding the suspect or victim as essential to their analytic tasks. However, there was significant variability among analysts within and between disciplines. Findings suggest that forensic science disciplines need to agree on what they regard as task-relevant before context management procedures can be properly implemented. The lack of consensus about what is relevant information not only leaves room for biasing information, but also reveals foundational gaps in what analysts consider crucial in forensic decision making.     

婚约法律问题研究

婚约是婚姻关系建立前的习惯性程序,经历了从罗马法、寺院法到近现代法的不同发展时期,产生的法律效力也各有不同。婚约在我国是一种重要的民事习惯,历代封建统治者都十分重视对婚约关系的调整。婚约的成立应以当事人自愿自行订立、具有完全民事行为能力、未婚及无禁止结婚的血亲关系为条件,依法成立的婚约对双方当事人及第三人均产生一定的法律效力。婚约存续期间双方互赠的财物,在婚约解除时应按不当得利予以返还。一方擅自解除婚约或因他方过错而解除婚约的,无过错方可请求损害赔偿。将婚约视为纯粹的道德问题,不仅人为地缩小了民法的调整范围,也不利于财产纠纷的解决,应通过民法典的制定予以规范。     

民营经济发展给地方政府管理带来的挑战——以吉林省为例

民营经济是推动政府体制改革的重要力量,而政府管理创新则是推动民营经济蓬勃发展的重要保证。改革开放以来,吉林省民营经济创下许多佳绩,但是同全国民营经济发展状况相比,不论是经济总量还是速度水平都存在较大的差距,还有许多因素制约着民营经济的发展。只有创新地方政府的管理,转变政府职能,改革政府传统的行政管理方式,积极培育和引进民营经济的创业主体,创造条件解决民营经济在发展中的资源要素问题,才能促进民营经济的发展。     

《水浒传》与百年"好汉山东"叙事

就山东的地域文化来说,占主流地位的是以孔孟为代表的儒家思想。但是,作为一种文化形象,体现着民间色彩的"好汉山东"形象却更为人们所认同、流传更广泛。这一现象的出现,与《水浒传》的传播有着极大关系。《水浒传》不仅在"好汉山东"这一地域文化形象的建构过程中起了重要作用,也以其特色鲜明的英雄叙事传统,深深地影响了百年"好汉山东"的文学想象与书写方式。     

振兴东北的逻辑起点——区域制度创新

新制度经济学认为,造成区域经济发展差异的主要因素是制度,制度创新决定技术创新。东北的落后表现在经济上,反映在制度上。在振兴东北的思路上应当具有系统性与逻辑性。振兴东北的最大障碍是人与制度的关系,从社会层面来看是文化上的落后,缺乏创新精神;从社会管理层面来看是政府示范引导不力,自身改革滞后。更新社会观念,加快政府改革是摆脱制度束缚,振兴东北的逻辑起点。     

猪丹毒豚鼠系弱毒菌株对猪口服免疫的研究——G370菌株口服免疫区域试验

以G370菌株试制的冻干菌苗,先后在黑龙江省、辽宁省及江苏省的4个地区6个单位不同类型猪只,总共口服95724头猪,反应率为0.07％。证明对猪口服免疫是安全有效的,对各期妊娠母猪口服同样是安全有效,在发生疫情的猪群中也可用于紧急口服免疫。     

完善地方分权与反对地方保护主义

地方分权是我国政治体制改革的一项重要举措,但也被许多学者认为是地方保护主义产生和迅速生长的温床。导致地方保护主义的体制性因素同时也正是使我国改革开放以来各地经济迅速发展的重要因素,因此,我们不仅要研究地方分权如何导致地方保护主义,更要通过研究地方分权与地方保护主义之间的关系,找到完善分权、避免地方保护主义的途径。     

Scale, technique and composition effects in the Mexican agricultural sector: the influence of NAFTA and the institutional environment

More than a decade after NAFTA (North American Free Trade Agreement) entered into force, the environmental effects of agricultural trade liberalization in Mexico are still controversial, emerging, and not fully understood. This paper contributes to the literature that aims to explore trends in input use in the agricultural sector in Mexico during the post-NAFTA period among both commercial/industrial and traditional/rainfed farmers, and examines the influence of the national and multilateral institutional framework on these outcomes. We decompose the post-NAFTA agricultural production data into scale, technique and composition effects to estimate the impact that trade liberalization has had on the use of fertilizer and land use, two key agricultural inputs for which reliable aggregate data is available. We conclude that among commercial farmers patterns of crop type specialization and significant technological improvements have led to some declines in fertilizer use but they have been offset by growth in fertilizer use associated with growing agricultural output. Among traditional farmers increased output and specialization in land-intensive grain crops are contributing to an increase in land under cultivation and technological improvements show the potential, but not yet not the strength, to counteract these effects. We analyse the environmental institutional framework and rural development plans, observing that institutional weaknesses have, in several instances, reduced the environmental benefit of technique and composition effects. We conclude with recommendations about how the Mexican agricultural sector might reap the environmental benefits of international agricultural trade.     

东北亚区域分工协作的走向——日本产业结构调整意图评析

中国经济高速增长 ,使东北亚日益成为世界关注的焦点 ,作为发达国家的日本 ,其经济和产业结构调整必然会对该地区的分工协作的发展产生重要影响。 1997年东南亚金融危机过后 ,除日本以外 ,东北亚各国和地区受贸易和投资的牵引 ,经济获得了较快的恢复和发展 ,贸易与投资格局也发生了变化。东北亚各国和地区具备开展分工协作的坚实基础 ,但同时也面临着诸多困难和障碍。作为东北亚惟一的发达国家日本 ,也正在积极推进产业结构调整 ,力争在今后本地区的分工协作中掌握主导权 ,但发展的现实和趋势说明 ,日本的这一企图是徒劳的     

从复苏到新的增长--东南亚经济形势分析

进入21世纪以来,东南亚经济可谓是一波三折,一些国家刚刚摆脱金融危机的阴影,逐步地走向复苏,马上又面对世界经济不景气,尤其是美日等国市场需求的萎缩,紧接着又受到非典型肺炎和禽流感的冲击,真可谓是屋漏偏遭连夜雨.尽管存在这些不利因素,大部分东南亚国家的经济在近年来仍然取得了可喜的成就,一些国家正在艰难地复苏,一些国家已经出现新的增长势头.