归纳法在判例主义法律推理中的有效性与论证

法律推理既具有逻辑特性又具有法学特性,所以法律推理的有效性也应当分别通过逻辑视角与法学精神进行论证.判例主义法律推理融类比推理、归纳推理与演绎推理为一体,具有良好的自我检验功能.归纳推理在判例主义法律推理中占有重要地位,虽然归纳推理在逻辑上仅仅具有相对的有效性即具有"归纳问题",但在"归纳原理"的作用下至少能够保证推理结论的"概率真理性".     

论并案侦查的推理形式

类比推理是根据两个或两个以上对象在某些属性上相似,推出这些对象在其他属性上相似,但不排斥类比推理根据两个或两个以上对象在某些属性上相同,推出这些对象在其他属性上相同。类比推理是一种独立的推理形式。在侦查中,决定并案侦查的推理形式是类比推理,不是归纳推理。并案类比推理可分为相似补缺类比推理和相似归并类比推理。     

浅析模糊限制语在政治访谈中的表现形式

模糊限制语(hedge)是指一些“把事物弄得模模糊糊的词语”。这些词语就话语的真实程度或涉及范围,对话语的内容进行修正或限定,表明说话人的态度、主观认识与评价。英语中存在着大量模糊限制语。模糊限制语不仅是说话者保持面子的一种策略,而且在政治访谈中更是一种目标。     

国家公务员考核量化测评方法研究

建立科学的分类考核要素和量化测评体系,是弱化主观因素的影响、提高考核结果科学性、准确性的关键之一。为解决国家公务员考核量化测评过程中主观因素影响较大的问题,可运用层次分析法与模糊评判法来促进国家公务员考核定量化。在重视与现行公务员考核量化测评方法衔接的基础上,通过适当补充、完善考核要素指标,采用层次分析法(AHP)确定一级考核指标因素和二级考核因子的权值,以建立模糊综合测评的模型。     

模糊思维论略

文章界定了模糊思维方式并提示其客观根据,论述了模糊思维方式的主要内容,阐明了模糊思维方式的重要意义,从而指明了模糊思维乃是现代科学和现代哲学正在探索的一个前沿领域.     

论语用学视域中的法律推理

语用学是从微观、语言的层面分析和把握法律推理的新视角。在语用学规范性视域中,法律推理是一种融合话语行为、命题行为和语用行为的交互言语行为。其中,"说者"与"听者"都是法律推理主体;达成合理共识是法律推理的目的和原动力;遵守合作原则是法律推理语言有效性的保证。语境通过语言选择的"装扮"来影响法律推理,是影响话语权分配、共识达成及合作原则遵守与否的关键因素。改善语境是发展法律推理的必由之路。     

Negotiating peace in Kosovo

We systematically analyze and forecast key developments before and during the Kosovo Crisis. Prior to the air campaign, we anticipated the breakdown of negotiations at Rambouillet and the subsequent initiation of hostilities. Without Russia as a mediator, we predicted that Milosevic would engage in military activity and strengthen his domestic control. As the war was being waged, we took a second look at settlement opportunities. Russia was identified as the key mediator needed to reach a settlement We show that a European‐led settlement offered promising prospects for peace. Finally, we demonstrate that the settlement achieved after the air war was not much different than the settlement that could have been achieved at Rambouillet The settlement on Kosovo offers only short‐term stability. To gain long‐term stability, the Serbians must either agree to the existing ethnic makeup in Kosovo or allow it to be partitioned. Otherwise, conflict in this region will likely revive.     

法律推理中的法律理由和正当理由

法律推理具有逻辑方法和审判制度的双重属性,它的发展经历了一个从前者向后者的演进过程。法律推理是一个综合运用法律理由和正当理由的法庭决策过程。法律解释作为该过程的一个环节,是以正当理由阐释法律理由而获得法律推理大前提的手段。     

The Effects of Blaming Others for Legislative Inaction on Individual and Collective Evaluations

Legislators commonly blame others for gridlock. We posit that legislators may engage in this type of rhetoric to minimize the individual reputational risks associated with legislative inaction or to boost the relative standing of their party. In a series of six survey experiments, we find that blaming others for inaction undermines voters’ evaluations of individual legislators who engage in this rhetorical strategy. This effect is particularly pronounced among out-partisans and independents. However, blaming rhetoric can also enhance the standing of the blamer’s party relative to the opposing party across all groups (including out-partisans), in large part by undermining the reputations of these other actors. Ultimately, we show that when an individual legislator engages in blaming rhetoric, the immediate net electoral effects are null. This suggests that coordinated efforts by a party to blame opponents may improve the party’s relative standing, while imposing few costs on those engaged in blaming.     

Russian Public Sector Employees’ Reasoning of Ethical Behavior: An Empirical Study

ABSTRACT

The purpose of this study is to examine the ethical reasoning of Russian public sector employees based on age, gender, management experience, specialization by the area of activity, and tenure with the current employer. Using t-test and one-way ANOVA statistical analyses, this study analyzed the ethical reasoning of 199 Russian public sector employees. Significant differences in ethical reasoning were observed among public sector employees based on age and specialization by the area of activity, but no significant differences in ethical reasoning were found among respondents based on gender, management experience and tenure with current employer.