Age Adjustment and Recall Bias in the Analysis of Domestic Violence Data: Methodological Improvements Through the Application of Survival Analysis Methods

This methodological paper presents the utility of survival analysis methods to provide age adjustment in the analysis of domestic violence data. These methods improve the estimation of lifetime probability of domestic violence, improve identification of patterns of first victimization over the lifespan, and provide methods of testing risk factors for first victimization while adjusting for the respondents' age. Most importantly, these methods allow a new investigation of recall bias. Results suggest that lifetime probability of abuse may have been substantially underestimated in previous studies because of problems in recall/disclosure encountered by middle-aged women.     

Lifetime conviction risk—a synthetic cohort approach

How common are convictions? The stigma of a criminal record can have serious social and financial consequences for the individual. It is a fundamental question in relation to any policy how many people will be affected by it. For example, if it is desirable to make sentencing generally stricter, or restrict ex-offenders' employment opportunities, how many people will that apply to? Little is known about how many people acquire a criminal record over their life-course. In this paper, I apply life-table methods to a synthetic cohort to calculate the lifetime conviction risk. The findings show that a substantial proportion of the population will be convicted of a crime at some point. Not surprisingly, the figures for men are substantially higher than for women.     

Visualization of latent fingerprints using fluorescence lifetime imaging on paper emitting strong fluorescence

Latent fingerprints were successfully visualized using fluorescence lifetime imaging (FLIM) on paper which emits strong fluorescence with a lifetime close to that of fingerprints and thus from which it is difficult for time-resolved spectroscopy to visualize fingerprints. Latent fingerprint samples on paper were excited using a 450 nm or 532 nm nanosecond pulsed-laser, and time-resolved fluorescence images were obtained at a delay time of 6–16 ns in intervals of 1 ns, to the excitation pulse. The excitation beam was expanded using a lens, and the fluorescence from the fingerprints was captured using an intensified CCD camera. Because of the large fluorescence intensity of the background paper of approximately two to four orders of magnitude larger than that of the fingerprint, the fingerprint was not visualized on each fluorescence image by time-resolved spectroscopy. However, the fingerprint was visualized in a FLIM image constructed using a series of the fluorescence images for the case with the fluorescence intensity of the background paper being four orders of magnitude larger than that of the fingerprint. The difference in fluorescence lifetime in the FLIM image of the visualized fingerprint and background paper was in the order of 0.1 ns, which was an order of magnitude smaller than the inherent fluorescence lifetime of a few nanoseconds for the fingerprints and paper. It was demonstrated that, at a background fluorescence intensity with a certain order of magnitude larger than that of fingerprints, FLIM has the potential to visualize latent fingerprints which cannot be visualized by time-resolved spectroscopy.     

列宁论法官的选任

作为国家司法机构的法院和法院职能执行者的法官是基于阶级的分化、社会分工和纠纷解决的需要而产生的。进入社会主义，社会主体之间的利益之争仍然客观存在，有纷争就需要有承担裁判案件和定纷止争使命的法官。作为社会主义事业的开创者，列宁对于社会主义法官存在的必要性以及法官的任职资格、任职形式和任职期限作了详细的论述。列宁认为，作为国家专门裁决纠纷的职业阶层，法官在社会主义阶段仍然有其存在的历史必要性；法官应当是从人民群众中选举出的具有法律专业知识和实际修养的职业阶层；为了防止法官专断和擅权，主张废除法官终身制，实行社会主义的法官任期制。     

The Need for Effective Dialogue

In common with some other work on the topic of theft of electronic products, the approach of project MARC is to lay considerable responsibility for these crimes at the door of the electronics manufacturers. This seems misplaced and appears to stem from an insufficient appreciation of the nature and drivers of the global consumer electronics market and an ineffective dialogue with the manufacturers. Many options for additional security are possible, but the global nature of the market, the ever-diminishing product lifetimes of electronic products and consumer reluctance to ascribe a high value to such features complicates their introduction. Thought should be given to the establishment of a new quasi-official body to bring together the stakeholders to create a constructive dialogue between interested parties.     

企业与经销商关系管理办法探索研究

自20世纪以来,全球大部分国家和地区已全面进入市场经济发展阶段,随着信息科学技术的飞速发展和应用,消费模式也发生了巨大的变化。作为商品经济和社会分工的发展结果,商品市场正变得越来越复杂,竞争越来越激烈,每个企业都在这样的市场环境中生存并面临着更多的机遇和风险。为了成功进入、占领、巩固和拓展市场,选择正确的营销策略对每个公司都非常重要,而顾客则为其中最重要的存在要素。通常,顾客不仅仅指消费者和买家,还包括经销商。研究经销商与企业之间的关系,有助于构建这两个合作伙伴的长期共赢合作的途径。     

Sometimes I Hear Life Going: On the Remoteness from Life in Modernity

Modernity seems to bring a type of relationship with life whereby life appears to be distant. Individuals may mitigate this distance by attaining a meaningful life, but this requires time, decisions and a purpose. In the late modern context, these dimensions – time, decisions and vital purposes – appear to be shaped in a way that further increases this remoteness. This paper analyses how the narratives associated with these three dimensions foster a way of understanding them that restricts the relationship which individuals build with their own lives. The late-modern remoteness from life may stem from experiencing a lifetime without significant time, decisions without real choice and particular forms of self-fulfilment that misappropriate the relationship with life.     

王了望诸疑考辩

本文围绕王了望仕宦生涯中的几处疑点进行了考证,在入狱、更名、获罪等方面提出了自己的独特看法。     

大国背景下俄罗斯土地使用制度变革述评

俄罗斯土地制度变革已经从所有为重心的私有化转向利用为中心的市场化。在土地利用的二元体系下,俄罗斯法大幅缩限了终生继承占有权、土地永久使用权等用益物权的适用范围,建立以土地租赁权为中心的土地使用制度,这是一种适合在大国且土地市场不完善的社会中实现土地资源有效利用和流转的制度安排。     

Dialogue Mechanism Leads to New Sino-U.S. Relations

正IN his 1961 inauguration address President John F.Kennedy said:"If a beachhead of cooperation may push back the jungle of suspicion,let both sides join in creating a new endeavor–not a new balance of power,but a new world of law–where the strong are just,and the weak secure,and the peace preserved.All this will not be finished in the first one hundred days.Nor will it be finished in the first one thousand days;nor in the life of this Administration;nor even perhaps in our lifetime on this planet.But let us begin."