Research on Pre－trade Transparency and Market Liquidity

The transparency of the securities market reveals the extent of transaction information transmission to traders. According to the relative trading position, it can be divided into pre-trade transparency and post-trade transparency. Using Shanghai Stock market high frequency trading data, this paper builds an econometric model and analyzes the market effect of two important changing pre－trading transparency events. The empirical result hows that the pre－trade transparency changing has no significant effect on market liquidity. The expansion from 3－layer bid－and－ask price to 5－layer obviously lifts the stock price, leading to the U－shape change in volatility and trading volume. However, the 5－layer bid－and－ask price expansion to 10－layer in level 2 shows no significant effect.     

我国国际收支双顺差的影响、原因及对策研究

强制性的银行结售汇制及事实上的固定汇率制度，使20世纪90年代中期以来我国国际收支双顺差直接引发了外汇储备激增及流动性过剩问题。而后者对我国当前的投资、物价以及房地产和股市产生不利影响。持续的国际收支双顺差与我国多年来实行不当的出口退税政策、人民币汇率政策及直接利用外资政策等一系列国际收支政策密切相关。为从根本上解决上述问题，具体政策调整应从出口退税率、汇率决定机制及对外国直接投资的限制三方面入手。     

我国股市本轮上涨原因分析与政策建议

本文分析了我国股市本轮上涨的原因,指出由地流动性过剩,当前我国股市已出现非理性繁荣,并提出一系列对策,以应对股市泡沫。     

A Thorny Issue

正Recurring credit crunches in the banking system has exposed problems that require institutional reform China’s banking system suffered another credit crunch at the end of 2013.On December 19,trading in the high-value payment system was extended by an extra half an hour,followed by rumors of breaches of contract among banks.Although relevant departments clarified the rumors,interbank     

中国股票市场发展与经济增长关系实证研究

文章对中国股票市场与经济增长关系的实证研究表明,股票市场的发展对我国经济增长的作用是相当有限的,更有甚者,股票市场的扭曲性存在可能会不利于经济的发展。     

British scientists,Lysenko and the Cold War

This study describes the impact of the Lysenko controversy in Britain. In particular, it delineates the way in which it became part of the means by which science and ideologies about scientific work were restructured during the forties and early fifties. As such the Lysenko controversy in Britain had, like its Soviet counterpart, social and political roots and effects.     

MARKET WATCH

正OPINION How to Tackle Local Government Debt? Fundamentally,debt is an overdraft of credit,and almost all countries are confronted with some form of debt risks.Currently,China tries to curb the rising debt risks through deleverage,which has gone on to cause the additional problems of a surge in financing costs and a structural squeeze in social liquidity.A solution should be found to treat both symptoms and their root causes.     

Financial crises as catalysts for regional cooperation? Chances and obstacles for financial integration in ASEAN+3, MERCOSUR and the eurozone

This article compares and analyses the different answers from the Association of Southeast Asian Nations+3 (ASEAN+3), Mercado Común del Dur (MERCOSUR) and the eurozone on financial crises in their respective regions. All three regions were hit by economic turmoil between 1997 and 2012, but whereas ASEAN+3 and the eurozone answered with establishing regional liquidity arrangements (RLAs) in order to fight future crises, financial cooperation did not take off in MERCOSUR. Thus, the paper asks why some regions establish RLAs in cases of crisis and others do not. It argues that the variance of regional financial integration in different world regions is due to different interests of regional powers in their respective regions. The regional powers of ASEAN+3 and the eurozone are institutionally and/or economically highly embedded within their respective regions, but this is not the case for Brazil in MERCOSUR. China and Japan suffered from negative externalities of the Asian crisis, and, consequently, have had an interest to stabilize their neighbours’ economies after the crisis. In contrast, Brazil was able to follow a beggar-thy-neighbour strategy at the turn of the millennium, which externalized some of the costs of Brazil's own economic crisis towards Argentina. As a result, Brazil has had no interest in providing liquidity for its regional neighbours after the crisis. France and Germany are not only economically but also institutionally highly embedded in the eurozone because they share a common currency with their regional neighbours. Thus, the stability of the eurozone is a vital interest for Europe's regional powers, and they devote significant resources to stabilize the economies of the eurozone's periphery.     

Varieties of regional monetary cooperation: a tool for reducing volatility in developing economies?

Can regional monetary cooperation shield developing regions from global volatility? The article argues that the main contribution of regional monetary cooperation to enhancing the shock-buffering ability of its member countries is to provide short-term liquidity and to increase regional trade and financial links. In contrast, traditional optimum currency area (OCA) theories formulate the advantages of regional monetary cooperation in terms of allocative efficiency gains and aim at a full currency union as final stage. As such, traditional theory widely ignores the shock-buffering capacity of regional monetary cooperation as well as their varieties. In contrast, the article argues that intermediate stages of regional monetary cooperation have their own rationales related to such shock-buffering capacity. This paper systematically examines the variety of regional cooperation arrangements in the developing world that range from regional payments systems over the pooling of reserves to exchange rate coordination. We propose that the potential for shock buffering is dependent on the chosen form of cooperation. Furthermore, in contrast to full monetary integration, which is highly demanding in terms of policy coordination, the requirements for regional policy coordination are significantly lower, depending on the form and aim of the arrangement.     

我国外汇储备激增与当前流动性过剩问题研究

20世纪90年代中期以来,我国外汇储备连续多年呈现出激增态势。外汇储备的激增直接引发了我国流动性过剩问题。而流动性过剩既使我国当前面临投资过热和通货膨胀压力,也使我国房地产领域和股市出现过热迹象。外汇储备的激增与我国多年来实行不当的出口退税政策、人民币汇率政策及直接利用外资政策等一系列国际收支政策密切相关。为从根本上改善外汇储备激增现状及流动性过剩问题,我国应重新设定国际收支政策的目标,具体政策的调整应从适度调低出口退税率、逐步建立富有弹性的汇率决定机制及在数量、投向上限制外国直接投资三个方面入手。