对21世纪初国际环境的几点看法

21世纪初,世界力量对比严重失衡的态势将有所变化,世界格局多极化将有新发展.美国经济一枝独秀的风光不再,各主要力量经济增长相对均衡化.欧盟、日本寻求独立定位的倾向更显突出,俄罗斯民族主义上升,对外政策强硬面增加,次力量中心进一步活跃.单极与多极的矛盾仍将是21世纪初国际关系的主要矛盾,它们之间的互动构成21世纪初世界政治发展的主轴.世界各主要力量围绕建立21世纪国际秩序的构筑进行的斗争将全面展开.我国外部安全环境中的不确定因素增多.军备竞赛不断升级,重要地缘战略地区的动荡增加.美国对我遏制力度明显加大,周边某些国家也出现借超制华倾向.宗教极端势力、民族分裂势力、国际恐怖势力汇聚中亚,对我国西北安全与稳定构成潜在威胁.

Views on International Environment in the Early 21st Century

There will be some change in the heavy imbalance of the world's forces and new development in the multipolarization of the world's patterns in the early 21st century. American economy is no longer in a dominant position and the economy growth of each major force is relatively balanced. The EU and Japan tend to seek more dependence and Russian nationalism is on the rise. There also increase some strong external foreign policies and active subordinate forces. Therefor, the principal contradiction in the early 21st century international relations is still between the singlepolar and the multipolar. Their interaction plays a leading role in the world's political development of the early 21st century. Each major force is going to wage an all - round struggle for building the structure of the 21st century international orders. In our external security environment there are more uncertain factors than before, such as the escalation, the armament race and the increasing turbulence in the geo - strategic strategic area. The US has clearly strengthened its containment over China and some neighbouring countries are also trying to restrict China by drawing support of the superpowers. Religious foundamentalism, national splittism and international terrorism, which spread over Central - Asia, constitute a threat to Northwest China's security and stability.