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Local Elections and the Turkish Voter: Looking for the Determinants of Party Choice
Authors:Ersin Kalaycıoğlu
Abstract:On 30 March 2014 Turkish voters elected their local (city) councillors. Their party preferences seem to indicate considerable correspondence with the national vote choices. So, do voters' choices in local elections differ from voters' party preferences at the national legislative elections? Based on previous research findings on Turkish voting behaviour, a list of hypotheses was compiled and tested, using binary logistic regression analyses and survey data collected immediately prior to the 2009 and 2014 local elections. The main findings are that the party lists are supported at the ballot boxes on the basis of the voters' party identification, ideological positions, and economic (dis)satisfaction, whether in national or local elections.
Keywords:Voting Behaviour  Economic Dissatisfaction  Party Identification  Local Elections  Turkey  AKP  CHP
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