| 关于俄罗斯是否患上“荷兰病”的实证分析 |
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| 引用本文： | 郭晓琼. 关于俄罗斯是否患上“荷兰病”的实证分析[J]. 俄罗斯研究, 2009, 0(5) |
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| 作者姓名： | 郭晓琼 |
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| 作者单位： | 中国社科院俄罗斯东欧中亚研究所俄罗斯经济室 |
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| 摘 要： | 俄罗斯是否患上"荷兰病"的问题一直是个学术界近年来争论的焦点.本文根据 "荷兰病"的理论模型,分别从国际油价上涨是否导致汇率上升、制造业部门是否表现出"去工业化"现象和工资上涨的效应是否存在这三方面,运用协整检验等实证分析方法,讨论了俄罗斯是否患上"荷兰病"的问题,并综合三方面的实证分析结果,得出了俄罗斯存在一定程度的"荷兰病"现象的结论.
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| 关 键 词： | 俄罗斯 " 荷兰病" 资源转移效应 支出效应 实证分析 |
An Empirical Analysis Regarding Whether Russia is Suffering fromDutch disease |
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| Guo Xiaoqiong. An Empirical Analysis Regarding Whether Russia is Suffering fromDutch disease[J]. Russian Studies, 2009, 0(5) |
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| Authors: | Guo Xiaoqiong |
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| Abstract: | Whether Russia is suffering from Dutch disease has been a focus of debate in the academic community in recent years. Based on the theoretical model of Dutch disease and empirical analysis approaches including co-integration test, this article has discussed whether Russia is suffering from Dutch disease from three aspects: whether rising international oil prices led to the exchange rate appreciation, whether the de-industrialization phenomenon is appearing in the manufacturing sector and whether the wages ar... |
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