核武器对同盟的影响——以朝核问题与日美同盟的互动为例

核武器通过对威胁能力与威胁认知的修正对同盟建立产生影响。核武器及其拥有国的数量影响同盟的结构样式和结构变动。核武器拥有、部署及威慑功能的变动持续塑造同盟参与国对威胁的认知,从而影响同盟参与国的对外政策。同盟内核保护的明确性与可信性、核武器功能及部署的分享与分工、国际核安全机制的构建,都将影响同盟的内部互信。综观朝核问题对日美同盟的影响:日美同盟参与国对外政策的不协调为其表,日美同盟内互信的动摇为其中,日美同盟结构的进一步"平等化"为其里。

The Impact of Nuclear Weapon on Alliances:a Case Study on DPRK's Nuclear Issue on Japan-U.S.Alliance

The issue of nuclear weapon affects alliance formation by altering the capacity and the cognition of"threat".The proliferation of nuclear weapons will lead to structural changes in alliances.Changes to the possession of nuclear weapons,their deployment and nature of deterrence will constantly shape the cognition of threat amongst alliance actors,which in turn will affect their foreign policies.Definition and credibility of the respective nuclear protection in each alliance,the shared responsibilities toward...