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Only conservatives are voting in the rain: Evidence from German local and state elections |
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| Institution: | 1. DIW Berlin, Mohrenstraße 58, 10117 Berlin, Germany;2. FU Berlin, Garystraße 21, 14195 Berlin, Germany;1. Department of Mathematics, The Pennsylvania State University, University Park, State College, PA 16802, United States;2. IMERL-Facultad de Ingeniería, Universidad de la República, CC 30 Montevideo, Uruguay |
| Abstract: | In this note, we use data from different elections in the German state of North-Rhine Westphalia between 1975 and 2010 to show that the Conservatives profit from lower voter turnout at the expense of the Social Democrats. We deal with the endogeneity of voter turnout by using election day rain as an instrumental variable. Our particular contribution is the comparison of municipal and state elections. |
| Keywords: | Turnout Partisan effects Rain Germany Municipalities Elections D72 H70 |
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