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中国印尼货物贸易互补性分析
作者姓名:袁群华  李楠
作者单位:广东外语外贸大学经济贸易学院;广东外语外贸大学商学院
基金项目:广东省软科学课题“广东经济发展方式转变与产业、人口、教育、就业政策仿真模型及技术支撑平台构建研究”(2016A070705055)的阶段性成果。
摘    要:中国是印度尼西亚最主要的贸易伙伴之一,既是印尼最大的出口目的地,也是印尼第一大进口来源国。而对于中国来说,印尼不是主要的贸易伙伴,只是一个快速增长的新兴市场。从中印尼两国贸易商品结构分析的结论看,印尼可以在农业原材料、食品、燃料、矿物和金属方面加大对中国的出口,而中国可以在制成品方面加大对印尼的出口。两国贸易的互补性指数表明两国在技术条件、要素禀赋、所处的经济发展阶段等方面存在较大差异,基本属于垂直型产业间贸易,具有较为广阔的贸易发展空间。当前中国与印尼的贸易正面临着一些障碍与困境:印尼频繁对中国发起贸易救济立案,中国与印尼之间的传统能源贸易也面临不可持续的困境。鉴于以上各种原因,中国企业可以通过投资印尼,来提升两国的经济合作水平。

关 键 词:“一带一路”  货物贸易  能源贸易  产业间贸易  互补性

Analysis on Complementarity of China-Indonesia Goods Trade
Authors:YUAN Qunhua  LI Nan
Abstract:China is one of Indonesia's major trading partners.It is not only Indonesia's largest export destination,but also Indonesia's largest source of imports.From the analysis of the trade commodity structure between China and Indonesia,it is concluded that Indonesia should increase its exports to China in agricultural raw materials,food,fuel,minerals and metals,while China should increase its exports to Indonesia in manufactured goods.The trade complementarity index of the two countries shows that there are great differences in technological conditions,factor endowments and economic development stages between the two countries,which basically belongs to vertical inter-industry trade and has a broad space for trade development.However,the current trade between China and Indonesia is facing obstacles and difficulties:Indonesia frequently initiates trade relief cases against China,and the traditional energy trade between China and Indonesia is unsustainable.In view of the current trade friction between China and Indonesia and the unsustainability of traditional energy trade,Chinese enterprises can expand the level of economic cooperation between the two countries by investing in Indonesia.
Keywords:"Belt and Road"  Trade in Goods  China  Indonesia  Complementarity
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