“一张一弛之谓道”:复杂局面中的国家治理节奏

对任何一个现代国家来讲,掌握国家治理中的节奏感都是十分重要的。现代国家都处在复杂局面之中,张弛有度的国家治理节奏,全面、深刻地影响国家前途与命运。在把握社会总体周期的基础上,处在复杂局面中的国家,应当因应于社会总体态势,或强化政策力度,提高政策张力,推进国家发展;或弱化政策进取,俾使社会休养生息,保障国家生机。如果在社会需要国家强化政策力度时反应迟缓,在社会需要国家弱化政策刚性时霸王硬上弓,那么,就会导致国家治理的张弛失度,让国家治理节奏紊乱,催生国家风险与危机。这让国家治理无法保持一种适应社会周期的力度变化:要么以过度的政策强度而摧毁国家治理的正常运转机制,要么以不及的政策而跟不上社会变化的速率导致国家权力瘫痪。对中国而言,这点尤为紧要。

“The Balance between Tension and Relaxation is Tao(道)”:The Rhythm of National Governance in Complex Situations

Every modern country must sense the rhythm of national governance.In our complex times,modern countries must balance tension and relaxation in national governance.This will have a comprehensive and profound impact on every country's future.Leaders must understand the overall social cycle.Countries in complex situations should respond to the overall social situation,either strengthening policy efforts to improve policy tension and promote national development,or relaxing aggressive policies and allowing society to recuperate.If the state responds slowly when society demands a powerful policy or conducts aggressive enforcement when society demands a relaxed policy,national governance will be out of balance.Such a disordered rhythm could result in national risks and crises.If national governance fails to adapt to the social cycle,then it either destroys its normal operational mechanism with excessive policy intensity or paralyzes state power with outdated rules because it cannot keep up with the rate of social change.This is particularly crucial for China.