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A computational electoral competition model with social clustering and endogenous interest groups as information brokers
Authors:Vjollca Sadiraj  Jan Tuinstra  Frans van Winden
Affiliation:1. University of Arizona, 401 McClelland Hall, P.O. Box 210108, Tucson, Arizona, 85721-0108, USA
2. CeNDEF and Department of Quantitative Economics, University of Amsterdam, Roetersstraat 11, 1018, WB, Amsterdam, the Netherlands
3. CREED and Department of Economics, University of Amsterdam, Roetersstraat 11, 1018, WB, Amsterdam, The Netherlands
Abstract:We extend the basic model of spatial competition in two directions. First, political parties and voters do not have complete information but behave adaptively. Political parties use polls to search for policy platforms that maximize the probability of winning an election and the voting decision of voters is influenced by social interaction. Second, we allow for the emergence of interest groups. These interest groups transmit information about voter preferences to the political parties, and they coordinate voting behavior. We use simulation methods to investigate the convergence properties of this model. We find that the introduction of social dynamics and interest groups increases the separation between parties platforms, prohibits convergence to the center of the distribution of voter preferences, and increases the size of the winning set.
Keywords:
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