国际形势回顾与展望

纵观世界历史,科技与经济发展推动人类社会进步,战争与重大危机改变国际政治进程。冷战后,国际体系以和平改良方式破旧立新,处于缓慢过渡的转型时期。其间一次次重大安全危机,成为这一进程的助推器和加速器。新冠肺炎疫情就是最新例证,其冲击力和危害性不亚于以往任何一场传统或非传统安全危机,不仅印证,而且加速,甚至局部塑造着世界变局。2020年因此成为后冷战时期极不平凡的特殊年份。

Review and Prospect of International Situation

Throughout the history of the world,science,technology and economic development have promoted the progress of human society,while wars and major crises have changed the international political process.Major security crisis is the booster and accelerator of the development of human society.The latest example is the COVID-19.Therefore,2020 has become a special year in the post-Cold War era.We need to grasp the historical trend,as well as the opportunities and challenges.At present,the fourth technological and industrial change is accelerating.Economic globalization continues to deepen in many aspects.The process of multipolarization continues,while global challenges and universal security problems rise.Meanwhile,global governance is still facing difficulties.In 2021,the world will enter a period of repair and transformation during the pandemic.