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Economic voting in Hungary, 1998–2008
Authors:Zoltán Lippényi  Ineke Maas  Wim Jansen
Institution:ICS/Department of Sociology, Utrecht University, Padualaan 14, 3584 CH Utrecht, the Netherlands
Abstract:This study investigates retrospective voting and issue voting, and their change over time in a transitioning country. Sociotropic, as well as egocentric economic evaluations, and policy issues of parties are expected to play an increasing role in party preferences of citizens over time. Data consist of 41 Hungarian cross-sectional surveys, between 1998 and 2008. Results of conditional logistic regression models reveal that voters reward incumbent parties when they see improvements in their personal or the national economic situation, and punish them if the economy deteriorates. Distance from a given party on the left–right scale also decreases the chance of voting for that party. Voting behavior is changing during transition. The evaluations of the national economy and personal situation have an increasing impact on party preferences over time. We found educational heterogeneity in the extent of economic voting.
Keywords:Economic voting  Left&ndash  right distance  Heterogeneity  Transition  Conditional logistic regression  Hungary
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