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How voter mobilization from short text messages travels within households and families: Evidence from two nationwide field experiments
Institution:1. University of Copenhagen, Department of Political Science, Øster Farimagsgade 5, DK-1353 Copenhagen K, Denmark;2. VIVE – The Danish Centre of Applied Social Science, Købmagergade 22, 1150 Copenhagen K, Denmark;3. Copenhagen Business School, Department of Business and Politics, Steen Blichers Vej 22, 2000 Frederiksberg, Denmark;1. University of Kent, Canterbury, United Kingdom;2. Kings College London, London, United Kingdom;1. Department of Political Science, Gakushuin University, 1-5-1 Mejiro, Toshima, Tokyo 171-8588, Japan;2. Department of Government, Dartmouth College, 204 Silsby Hall, HB 6108, Hanover, NH 03755, USA
Abstract:Through two large GOTV field experiments in two different elections, we investigate the spillover effect to other household members and family members outside the household. We mobilized young voters with cell phone text messages, a campaign tactic unlikely to be observed by other persons than the treated. The direct effect varied but approximately 30 percent spilled over to other persons in the household, even parents. The effects are subtle and we cannot with certainty establish that a spillover effect exists. However, we demonstrate, using Bayesian updating, that even an initial skeptic becomes close to convinced that the effect spills over. Our study provides evidence by suggesting that young individuals’ decision to vote affect other household members, including their parents, to do the same. When young voters live without their parents, we find no evidence of spillovers to parents, suggesting that households are more important than families ties for turnout contagion.
Keywords:Political socialization  Voter turnout  Get-out-the-vote  Family  Household effects  Election campaigns  Field experiments
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