民工荒、大学生失业与低技能陷阱

文章利用内生经济增长理论中研发投资与人力资本投资战略互补的思路分析民工荒和大学生失业的悖论.由于企业缺乏足够的激励进行研发投资,民工的收入预期无法提高,就不愿意进行人力资本投资.一方面,大学生得不到雇佣,另一方面,农民工技能无法提高,企业只有继续大量雇佣低技能的工人来促进增长,农民工陷入低技能陷阱.因此,中国目前的民工荒是一种畸形的劳动力短缺,知识失业也是一种不可持续的经济增长(粗放经济增长)的结果,需要通过增加企业的研发投资和农民工的人力资本水平来解决.

Labor Shortage,Educated Unemployment and Low-Skilled Traps

Due to the strategy complementarities of R&D investment and human capital investment, this article analyses the paradox between labor shortage and educated unemployment.Educated labor is supposed to be hired for R&D while low-skilled labor for production.But because of the shortage in the incentives for R&D investment,workers' income expectation is hard to be improved,which makes enterprises reluctant to invest in human capital.With the educated unemployment on one hand and the low-skilled migrant workers o...