中国与东盟中间产品贸易发展及影响因素分析

依据BEC分类法,从1998～2008年的贸易数据表明,中国与东盟中间产品贸易占总贸易额半数以上,影响中国与东盟中间产品贸易发展及流向的因素主要有：要素禀赋、地理因素、中间产品跨境交易成本、跨国公司生产与投资区位选择。一般而言,资本丰裕而劳动稀缺的国家成为零部件的供应方,如中国与马来西亚的零部件贸易是逆差;地缘相近、贸易协定的签订降低了中间产品的贸易成本,促进了中国与东盟间中间产品贸易的发展;跨国公司投资促进东道国中间产品的出口。

On the Development of Intermediate Goods Trade and the Effective Factors between China and ASEAN

According to the data from 1998 to 2008 ,the bilateral trades of intermediate products share a very high proportion, and trade deficits of intermediate goods are the main reason for China＇s trade deficit with ASEAN countries.The main factors of impacting its development are factor endowments, geographical factors, the cost of cross-border transactions of intermediate products,and investment location choice of transnational corporations. Generally speaking, the countries which is rich in capital but short of labor force will be the supplier of intermediate goods, such as the trade between China and Malaysia;Geographical proximity and signed trade agreement has reduced the cost of their trade ;TNCs investment promotes the host countries＇export, especially the intermediate goods.