On the measurement of social class and its role in shaping white vote choice in the 2016 U.S. presidential election |
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Affiliation: | 1. University of Kent, Canterbury, United Kingdom;2. Kings College London, London, United Kingdom;1. Department of Political Science, California State University, Northridge, CA 91330, USA;2. Department of Political Science, University of California, San Diego, CA 92093, USA |
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Abstract: | In this paper, I assess how social class influenced white vote choice in the 2016 U.S. presidential election. I use 2016 ANES data to create a measure of class that is based on an individual's income, education, occupation, and wealth. I then use a structural equation model to show that an individual's social class both directly and indirectly shaped vote choice. I demonstrate that low class standing was a significant predictor of support for Trump in the general election. I also show that social class exerted an indirect effect. Lower class standing is associated with higher levels of racial resentment and authoritarianism, which were in turn strong predictors vote choice. I conclude that social class was one of the primary determinants of white vote choice. |
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