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毒品案件中控制下交付情报决策的博弈论分析
引用本文:辛越,于建. 毒品案件中控制下交付情报决策的博弈论分析[J]. 公安理论与实践, 2009, 19(1): 41-45
作者姓名:辛越  于建
作者单位:中国人民武装警察部队学院,河北,廊坊,065000  
摘    要:控制下交付是为了侦破毒品案件、打击毒品犯罪而提出的一项行之有效的侦查措施。在控制下交付的实施过程中,公安机关和贩毒集团各自根据当时的情形进行决策,彼此的决策又相互影响,符合博弈的基本模式。可以用博弈的方法进行定量分析。公安机关通过对这一过程的量化分析,计算出各方的损失和收益,从而将控制下交付的风险降至最低,对控制下交付的情报决策起着重要的指导作用。

关 键 词:毒品案件  控制下交付  情报决策  博弈论  定量分析

Analysis on the Intelligence Decision-making of Controlled Delivery in Drug Case Based on Game Theory
Xin Yue,Yu Jian. Analysis on the Intelligence Decision-making of Controlled Delivery in Drug Case Based on Game Theory[J]. Journal of Shanghai Public Security Academy, 2009, 19(1): 41-45
Authors:Xin Yue  Yu Jian
Affiliation:The Armed Police Academy;Langfang;Hebei 065000;China
Abstract:The controlled delivery is an effective method of investigation for cracking a drug-smuggling case.In the process of enforcement,the public security organs and drug-smuggling group make their strategic decisions by themselves.Their decisions would influence each other and match the mode of the game theory.Therefore,the decisions can be analyzed by the quantitative analysis.Through the analysis process,public security organs can find out the loss and profits of the two sides so that the public security organ...
Keywords:Drug-smuggling Case  Controlled Delivery  Intelligence Decision-making  Game Theory  Quantitative Analysis  
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