| 摘 要： | This article examines changes in China’s security perceptions since 1949and sketches the evolution of China’s grand strategy. In tracing the evolution ofChina’s security perceptions and grand strategy since 1949, it identifies elements ofchange as well as continuity. The changes reflect dramatic developments in the PRC’scapabilities and the international circumstances it faces, both of which have shapedthe grand strategic choices of China’s leaders. During most of the Cold War decades,a relatively weak China’s vulnerability to serious military threats from much morepowerful adversaries led the CCP to adopt grand strategies focused on coping with aclearly defined external security challenge. After the Cold War and especially in the21st century, an increasingly complex array of internal and external security concernsconfronts China’s leaders with new challenges. The paper concludes with a discussionof the significance of the recently established National Security Commission and offersbrief observations about its potential significance for the CCP’s leadership in their fightagainst the new domestic and international security challenges it faces. The novelty ofChina’s security challenges at home and abroad in the 21st century is a consequenceof the end of the Cold War international order and perhaps more importantly, aconsequence of China’s successful modernization since 1979.
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