政治转型中的制度因素：泰国选举制度改革研究

本文认为,泰国政局持续动荡的重要原因,在于各派政治利益集团在重新划定权力边界的政治转型过程中始终未能在政治制度层面达成显规则与潜规则的相互契合。尽管各方对改变“小党林立”格局存在共识,但“反他信”阵营的既得利益集团偏好“两党对峙”格局,而“挺他信”阵营的新兴利益集团倾向“一党优势”格局。由于两派都存在对“实际控制力一潜规则权力边界”的错位误判,使得各方难以通过选举制度的显规则调整来重新划定彼此间的权力边界,从而导致持续的政治冲突与角力。

The Role of the Institution in the Political Transition:A Study of the Electoral Reform of Thailand

This paper argues that,the cause of the continued political unrest in Thailand is that,during the process of the political transition,political interest groups could not make the explicit-rules and the sub-rules of the political system to fit each other in order to redraw the authority boundary.Though there is a consensus in changing the political structure of proliferation of small parties,the vested interest groups of Anti-Thaksin camp prefer the structure of confrontation between the two parties,and the ...