从“重返”到“再平衡”——奥巴马政府第二任期的东南亚政策

美国总统奥巴马2009年上台后,对东南亚表现出浓厚的兴趣并高调"重返",推出了一系列加强在东南亚存在的举措。2013年连任后,他将在未来4年继续把东南亚作为"亚太再平衡"战略的着力点。同时,奥巴马政府意识到其东南亚政策也需要进行"再平衡",应放缓军事"重返"脚步,在经济、政治、安全等领域全方位投入,均衡化、长期化地推进东南亚外交。国内财政限制、中东等地区外交挑战和外交人员人事变动等因素会对美国新一届政府的东南亚外交有所制约,但其未来政策走向仍将对中国周边外交和中美关系产生持续影响。

From "Returning" to "Rebalancing" : U.S.Southeast Asia Policy in Obama's Second Term

Since he took office in 2009, the U.S. President Barack Obama has showed great interest in Southeast Asia and been a high-profile ＂returning＂ to this region, where he has launched a series of initiatives to strengthen U.S. presence. After being re-elected, he will continue to place emphasis on Southeast Asia as one of the main focus of U.S. strategy of ＂Rebalancing in Asia-Pacific＂. Meanwhile, Obama has realized that the Southeast Asia policy also needs to be ＂rebalanced＂, which means that the new administration should slow down the pace of military ＂returning＂, comprehensively input in the economic, political, security, democratic and other fields, and promote the Southeast Asian diplomacy in a balanced and long-term oriented way. Domestic financial restraints, the diplomatic challenges in Middle East and other hot spots, diplomatic personnel changes and other factors will constrain the new government＇s policy implementation. However, its future policy trend in Southeast Asia will still have a long-term impact on China＇ s diplomacy with neighboring countries and China-U.S. Relationship.