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Risk factors for stalking violence,persistence, and recurrence
Authors:Troy E McEwan  Michael Daffern  Rachel D MacKenzie  James R P Ogloff
Institution:Centre for Forensic Behavioural Science, Swinburne University of Technology and the Victorian Institute for Forensic Mental Health, Melbourne, Australia
Abstract:This study used a retrospective design to investigate risk factors associated with violence during a stalking episode, persistence (increased duration of stalking) and recurrence (multiple subsequent separate stalking episodes) in 157 people (91% male, mean age 35 years) with an established history of stalking behaviour. Results showed that diverse risk factors are associated with different types of stalking outcomes. Consistent with previous research, stalking violence was more likely to occur when the victim was an ex-intimate, when explicit threats had been made and where there had been previous property damage (AUC = .74). Personality disorder, older age, criminal versatility, a prior acquaintanceship and erotomanic delusions (AUC = .75) predicted stalking recurrence. Finally, previous acquaintanceship, the presence of delusional beliefs and the absence of a history of physical or sexual violence were associated with stalking persistence. These results clearly show that effective assessment and management of stalking requires consideration of different stalking outcomes and the diversity of associated risk factors.
Keywords:Stalking  risk assessment  violence  stalking persistence  stalking recidivism
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