中国-新西兰自由贸易区的经济效应展望

未来的中国-新西兰自由贸易区是建立在双方良好的经贸关系及较强的互补性产业结构基础上的;借助于自由贸易区经济效应理论的基本分析框架及相关的经济学模型可以发现,这一双边自由贸易协定将会对两国产生显著的静态(主要包括贸易创造、福利增加和减少走私等)和动态(主要包括产出增长、生产力促进和投资创造等)经济效应。这种由南北国家共同组成的国际区域经济一体化模式必将有利于中新两国更充分地发挥各自植根于资源优势基础上的比较优势与竞争优势,最终达到共同繁荣之目的。

On the Prospect of the China-New Zealand Free Trade Areas

The forthcoming Sino-New Zealand FTA is to be established on the good economic and trade relations and strong complementary industrial structures.Drawing support from the theory of FTA and the covering APG model,we will find that the Sino-New Zealand FTA will bring about the remarkable static(mainly including trade creation,welfare increase and smuggling decrease)and dynamic (mainly including GDP increase,productivity promotion and FDI creation )effects.Such integration comprising countries of different location will be very helpful to stimulate the comparative and competitive advantages resulting from their natural endowments,and to give a impetus to the common prosperities.