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山东省出口贸易与人均GDP增长的实证分析
引用本文:陈雄强. 山东省出口贸易与人均GDP增长的实证分析[J]. 胜利油田党校学报, 2008, 0(3): 59-62
作者姓名:陈雄强
作者单位:青岛农业大学,经济学院,山东,青岛,266109
摘    要:根据山东省1984-2007年的统计数据,运用协整方法,对出口与经济增长的实证分析结果表明,山东省出口与人均GDP均为一阶单整序列;运用Engle-Granger两步法建立的协整回归方程和误差修正模型表明,出口对人均GDP增长具有极强的拉动作用,二者之间存在着长期稳定的动态均衡关系。

关 键 词:出口贸易  人均GDP  经济增长  协整检验  误差修正模型
文章编号:1009-4326(2008)03-0059-04
修稿时间:2008-02-19

An Empirical Analysis on the Relationship between Export and Per Capita GDP of Shandong Province
CHEN Xiong-qiang. An Empirical Analysis on the Relationship between Export and Per Capita GDP of Shandong Province[J]. Journal of The Party School of Shengli Oilfield, 2008, 0(3): 59-62
Authors:CHEN Xiong-qiang
Affiliation:CHEN Xiong-qiang(School of Economics; Qingdao Agricultural University; Qingdao 266109; China);
Abstract:This paper studies the relationship between export and economic growth with Shandong province data covering the period of 1984-2007.The effect is examined by co-integration test.The result show that both export and per capita GDP are first difference integrated process.The regression model and error correction model between them are built by Engle-Granger two-step method,which shows a long and stable balance between export and per capita GDP.
Keywords:export trade  per capita GDP  economic growth  co-integration testing  error correction model
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