美国"伊拉克改造战略"析论

美国“伊拉克改造战略”的缘起十分复杂,既有历史远因,也有现实动因和石油诱因。伊拉克战败后,美国在中东具有了绝对的地缘优势地位,战后的伊拉克就是美国插在阿拉伯世界的“战略支柱”。目前美国在伊拉克面临着政治认同困境、部族主义对抗国家主义以及民主政治文化结构性缺失等诸多难题。美国“伊拉克改造战略”的深层结构性难题正在逐渐显露,徘徊于“退出”与“驻留”的战略两难境地将导致美国陷入霸权诱惑与越南式战争泥潭的历史宿命。

Reviewing U.S." Reconstructing Iraq Strategy"

The causes of US"reconstructing Iraq strategy"are various, including the factors of history, reality and oil. After Iraq was defeated, the U.S. has occupied a predominant position in the Middle East, and Iraq has become a"strategic pillar "of the U.S. in this region. But now the U.S. is facing three major difficulties in Iraq: political identity embarrassment, tribalism against nationalism, and the absence of cultural structure for democratic politics. The contradictions of US"reconstructing Iraq strategy"are being manifested gradually. The U.S. dilemma between"exiting" and"staying"shall lead it to the historic destiny of hegemonic temptation and Vietnam-like war trap.