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Valence beyond consensus: Party competence and policy dispersion from a comparative perspective
Authors:Sergi Pardos-Prado
Affiliation:Nuffield College, University of Oxford, New Road, OX1 1NF, Oxford, UK
Abstract:Part of the growing literature on valence politics interprets the electoral impact of party competence perceptions as resulting from consensus over ideological positions in contemporary societies. The relationship between valence politics and consensus, however, is usually based on either disputable theoretical assumptions or on single-country analyses. In this paper I empirically test the assumptions linking valence politics and policy consensus in a comparative perspective across 21 political systems. The results show no evidence that valence is associated with consensus, and some evidence that the electoral effect of valence is correlated with certain forms of policy dispersion, such as ideological party polarisation. The implication that perceptions of party competence are significantly informed by spatial-based considerations is discussed.
Keywords:Valence   Party competence   Spatial voting   Ideological consensus   Hierarchical modelling
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