驳人民币升值论

20 0 3年以来 ,人民币币值问题引起了国内外众多专家学者的热烈讨论。升值论者主要依据巴拉萨———萨缪尔森效应、高额的外汇储备、巨大的贸易顺差以及中国作为一个大国的责任等要求人民币升值。在升值论者中 ,一些人是出于本国的政治、经济意图 ,一些人则是因为对中国总体经济形势、具体经济现象的错误判断与把握。目前人民币升值的时机尚未成熟 ,维持人民币较长时期的汇率稳定 ,延缓升值进程 ,具有非常重要的战略意义

Refutation against the Argument for RMB Appreciation

From 2003, the problem of RMB currency value has aroused the enthusiastic discussion of numerous experts at home and abroad. Those who ask RMB to appreciate mainly base on high foreign exchange recreation, huge favorable balance of trade, as well as the responsibility of China as a large country. Among these supporters, some have the economic and politics intention of their country, some just because of the wrong judgment and hold for Chinese overall economic atmosphere and specific economic phenomenon. Now, the opportunity of RMB appreciation has not ripened, so it has very important strategic meaning to maintain the exchange rate of RMB longer period to stabilize and delay appreciation process.