Main tendencies in violent death rate dynamics in the Leningrad region for 1992-2006 and death-rate prognosis for the near future

Statistical analysis of the violent death rate in the Leningrad region was carried out based on the materials of the local Forensic Medicine Bureau for 15 years, from 1992 till 2006. A total of 82,047 cases of violent death were analysed including 9,881 cases of willful homicide, 11,296 cases of suicide, and 55,416 fatal accidents. Absolute and relative indices for each group were compared and the analysis of multidimensional time series performed.