Areal interpolation and the UK's referendum on EU membership |
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Authors: | Chris Hanretty |
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Affiliation: | School of Politics, Philosophy, Language and Communication Studies, University of East Anglia, Norwich, UK |
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Abstract: | I show how results from the United Kingdom's referendum on membership of the European Union can be remapped from local authority level to parliamentary constituency level through the use of a scaled Poisson regression model which incorporates demographic information from lower level geographies. I use these estimates to show how the geographic distribution of signatures to a petition for a second referendum was strongly associated with how constituencies voted in the actual referendum. |
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