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Democracy,confusion, or chaos: Political conditionality in Kenya
Authors:Barbara Grosh  Stephen Orvis
Institution:(1) Center for Policy Research, Maxwell School of Citizenship and Public Affairs, Syracuse University, USA;(2) Department of Government, Hamilton College, 13323 Clinton, NY
Abstract:We argue that the policy of conditioning all economic development aid on a process of democratization is a mistake. Good economic policy should be rewarded for its own sake. The process of democratization is costly to participants, and forcing it prematurely can lead to institutional collapse rather than development. Unclear definition of political conditionality has made donor policies inconsistent and capricious. We make these arguments conceptually and then review the experience of one of the most explicit cases of conditionality-induced “democratization”—Kenya. An aid cutoff stimulated the government to hold multiparty elections for the first time in many years. Despite the apparent success, the human and economic costs have been high, and the political changes less than donors hoped.
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