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Actuarial status of the HI and SMI Trust Funds
Authors:S Mussey
Abstract:This article is adapted from a summary of the 1984 annual reports of the Medicare Board of Trustees. It presents the actuarial status of the Hospital Insurance (HI) and the Supplementary Medical Insurance (SMI) Trust Funds. Although the Social Security Amendments of 1983 have made the HI program potentially less vulnerable to excessive rates of growth in the hospital industry by providing the Secretary of Health and Human Services some discretion over the level of payments to hospitals, the Board found the financing schedule for the HI program barely adequate to ensure the payment of benefits through the end of this decade if the assumptions underlying the estimates are realized. The Board found the SMI program to be financially sound, but it noted with concern the rapid growth in the cost of the program and the extent to which general revenues have become SMI's major source of financing. For both HI and SMI, the Board recommends that Congress consider ways to curtail the rapid growth in program costs.
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