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A note on electoral competition and turnout in run-off electoral systems: Taking into account both endogeneity and attenuation bias |
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| Institution: | 1. Department of Politics, Languages and International Relations, University of Bath, 1 West North, Bath, BA2 7AY, UK;2. School of Geographical Sciences, University of Bristol, Bristol, BS8 1SS, UK |
| Abstract: | In this short note, I propose an identification strategy to estimate the causal effect of expected electoral competition on voter turnout in run-off systems taking into account both endogeneity and attenuation bias. I find that electoral competition significantly raises turnout. Not addressing attenuation bias yields estimates that are biased by up to 50%. |
| Keywords: | Electoral turnout Political competition Attenuation bias Instrumental variables Dynamic policy problems |
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