Presidential coattails in Taiwan: An analysis of voter- and candidate-specific data |
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| Affiliation: | 1. Department of Political Science and Election Study Center, National Chengchi University, Taiwan;2. Department of Politics and Government, Illinois State University, USA;1. British Columbia Centre for Excellence in HIV/AIDS, St. Paul''s Hospital, 608-1081 Burrard Street, Vancouver, BC, Canada V6Z 1Y6;2. School of Population and Public Health, University of British Columbia, 5804 Fairview Avenue, Vancouver, BC, Canada V6T 1Z3;3. Department of Medicine, University of British Columbia, St. Paul''s Hospital, 608-1081 Burrard Street, Vancouver, BC, Canada V6Z 1Y6;4. Faculty of Health Sciences, Simon Fraser University, 8888 University Drive, Burnaby, BC, Canada V5A 1S6;1. School of Finance, Yunnan University of Finance and Economics, Kunming, 650221, PR China;2. Business School, Sichuan University, Chengdu 610064, PR China;1. Department of Economics, Monash University, Australia;2. Behavioral Business Lab, RMIT University, Australia |
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| Abstract: | Considerable empirical evidence demonstrates presidential coattail effects in elections held in the US. Employing hybrid logit and mixed logit models that analyze data collected from voters and candidates in Taiwan, this study examines coattail effects in a non-American setting. The findings show that presidential coattails exert powerful influences on Taiwanese citizens' vote choices and take the form of conversion. Contrary to American experiences, the mediating role of incumbency is quite minimal. Presidential coattails thus provide the president with an important source of influence in the legislative body. The linkage between presidential and legislative politics through coattails can help the operation of Taiwan's democratic institutions. Future research on voting behavior needs to consider voter characteristics as well as candidate attributes. |
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| Keywords: | Presidential coattails Incumbency Taiwan Hybrid logit model Mixed logit model |
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