Economic vulnerability and poverty in Tajikistan |
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Authors: | Raghbendra Jha Tu Dang Yusuf Tashrifov |
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Institution: | (1) Australia South Asia Research Centre, Arndt-Corden Division of Economics, Research School of Asian and Pacific Studies, College of Asia and the Pacific, Australian National University, Canberra, ACT, 0200, Australia;(2) The Arndt-Corden Division of Economics, RSPAS, College of Asia and the Pacific, ANU, Canberra, ACT, Australia;(3) Central Bank of Tajikistan, Vahdat, Tajikistan |
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Abstract: | We examine the profile of poverty and vulnerability in Tajikistan using household level panel data for 2004 and 2005. The
drop in poverty was largely due to increase in remittances from workers working overseas. Households are more likely to be
poor if they live in (a) rural areas, (b) large households, (c) households with a large proportion of children; or are pensioners
or live in a household whose head is a pensioner. One half of the households observed to be non-poor are vulnerable to poverty.
With expected utility approach, our analysis suggests that vulnerability associated with inequality is very large, whereas
that from idiosyncratic risk is moderate. Aggregate shocks have been favorable and reduced vulnerability. We advance several
policy recommendations. |
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Keywords: | |
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