美国对台军售——基于前景理论的分析

传统的研究美国对台军售政策的学者多是从理性因素出发，将其作为一项长期决策来研究，而很少关注其中的非理性心理因素。本文结合前景理论，综合考虑非理性心理因素以开辟对台军售政策研究的新视角。文章首先概述前景理论的分析框架，然后从前景理论的角度对美国对台军售政策进行理论分析，深人探讨美国对台军售政策的原因及未来走向。

Analysis on American Arm Sales to Taiwan Based on Prospect Theory

The scholars who traditionally study American arm sales to Taiwan looking on the rational factors as a long-term decision-making policy,little pay attention to irrational psychological factors.This article tries to carry out a new research on American arm sales to Taiwan from the irrational psychological angle by prospect theory.Firstly,the article systematically introduces prospect theory,next,it carries on the theoretical analysis on reason and future development of American arm sales to Taiwan by prospec...