中国石油管制的现实困境、两难选择及破解之道

本文首先从内在的路径依赖性和外部的国际油价冲击两个不同的角度来解释目前我国存在石油管制的根本原因;其次,着重阐述石油管制面临的现实困境和两难选择;最后,运用AD|AS模型深入考察我国社会福利在不受政府管制和受到管制两种情景下的损失情况,并根据相应结论提出合理的政策建议。

Chinese Oil Regulations: Dilemmas, Choices and Solutions

This paper firstly explains the primary causes of existing oil regulations in our country from the standpoints of two different aspects including inner path dependence and external international oil price shock. Secondly, it emphasizes the realistic dilemmas and conflicting choices of oil regulations and applies AD-AS model to investigate the losing of social welfare in two scenarios of whether regulation exists or not, and proposes several rational policy suggestions according to the empirical results.