印度尼西亚：2012～2013年回顾与展望

2012年,印尼政治、经济延续了2011年的发展态势,政治社会形势总体稳定、党派斗争加剧、暴力冲突时有发生。在经济方面,在世界经济萎靡和疲软的环境下仍然保持了宏观经济的稳定、较低的通胀率和较高的经济增长率。2013年,印尼政府仍面临国内外政治经济形势的诸多不确定性,主要国际机构和印尼央行对2013年印尼的经济预期乐观,私人消费和投资仍将成为2013年经济增长的主要引擎。随着世界经济缓慢复苏以及主要贸易伙伴经济增长的提高,出口对经济增长的作用将好于2012年。

Indonesia:Retrospect in 2012 and Prospect in 2013

Indonesian politics and economy in 2012 went on as 2011, stability in politics and society but with more conflicts among political parties and sporadic violence in some places. Indonesian economy in 2012 had the good results of lower inflation and higher GDP growth rate under the downturn of world economy. In 2013, Indonesian political parties will confront more uncertain risks of domestic politics and economy. Private consumption and investment will continue to be major engines of economic growth. Furthermore, export is expected to be improved with the slow recovery of world economy, so major international institutions such as World Bank, IMF and Bank of Indonesia keep optimism on 2013 Indonesian economy. As the slow world economy recovers and the economic growth of major trading partners, the export effect on the economic growth will be better than in 2012.