| 我国服务行业产出比重模型与预测 |
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| 引用本文： | 邓于君. 我国服务行业产出比重模型与预测[J]. 广东行政学院学报, 2005, 17(3): 70-74 |
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| 作者姓名： | 邓于君 |
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| 作者单位： | 华南师范大学,经济与管理学院,广东,广州,510631 |
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| 摘 要： | 影响服务业产出比重的因素较多,通过计量分析方法可确定人均GDP等因素最为关键。依据这些因素构建服务行业产出比重模型,并预测2010年与2020年服务业及其各分类行业部门比重,拟为政府部门决策提供参考。
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| 关 键 词： | 服务业 产出比重 模型 预测 |
| 文章编号： | 1008-4533(2005)03-0070-05 |
| 修稿时间： | 2005-02-25 |
Output Models of Service Trades in China and Forecast |
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| DENG Yu-jun. Output Models of Service Trades in China and Forecast[J]. Journal of Guangdong Institute of Public Administration, 2005, 17(3): 70-74 |
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| Authors: | DENG Yu-jun |
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| Abstract: | Many factors affect output proportion of service sector. Such factors as PGDP are key ones by metrological analysis. The models of service trades' output proportions are established based on these key factors. The output proportions of China service trades in 2010 and 2020 are forecasted by these models for the reference of government's policies. |
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| Keywords: | service sector output proportion model forecast |
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