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Generational replacement and Green party support in Western Europe
Institution:1. CIS Center for Comparative and International Studies, ETH Zurich, Haldeneggsteig 4, 8092, Zürich, Switzerland;2. Department of Political Sciences, University of Amsterdam, Amsterdam, the Netherlands;3. Department of Political Science, Radboud University, Nijmegen, the Netherlands;4. Department of Political Science, University of Gothenburg, Gothenburg, Sweden
Abstract:Over the past decades, electoral support for Green parties has gradually increased in Western Europe, especially among young people. This begs the question whether there are systematic differences between generations in support for Green parties, and whether there are also life-cycle effects. We answer this question by separating age, period and cohort effects on Green party support using CSES data covering 40 elections in 11 Western European countries. We find that when controlling for period and age, each new generation is more supportive of the Greens than the generation before. We also find negative age effects. While Green parties can expect to benefit in the future from generational replacement, the consequences of aging societies are to their disadvantage.
Keywords:Generations  Green parties  Environmental issues  APC models  Western europe
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