民主在东南亚的前提条件和发展趋势

20世纪50、60年代民主政体在东南亚国家的实行均以流产而告终,威权主义代替民主政体对东南亚国家的稳定和发展起到了巨大的作用.本文认为"民主"之树移植容易,但是开花结果却需要许多前提条件.本文从经济、文化和社会基础三个角度分析东南亚国家实行"民主"所需的相应条件.并对"民主"在东南亚的发展趋势作了简短预测.

Precondition and Trend of Democracy in Southeast Asia

The carrying out of democracy in Southeast Asia in the 1950s and 1960s was end in abortion, however, the authoritarianism as a substitute played a key role in the development of Southeast Asia. Why it succeed in West but failed in Southeast Asia in the 1950s and 1960s? This article first analyzes the relevant conditions needed for Southeast Asian democracy from the sides of economy, culture and society, then gives a brief prediction to the development of democracy in Southeast Asia.