| 基于风险演化的公共危机分析框架:方法及其运用 |
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| 引用本文： | 容志,李丁. 基于风险演化的公共危机分析框架:方法及其运用[J]. 中国行政管理, 2012, 0(6): 82-86 |
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| 作者姓名： | 容志 李丁 |
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| 作者单位： | 上海行政学院;西南财经大学公共管理学院 |
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| 基金项目： | 2010年度国家社会科学基金重大招标项目“‘十二五’时期八大综合配套改革试验区公共服务体制机制创新研究”(项目批准号10zd&009);2011年国家社科基金项目“公共服务的表达与整合机制构建”(项目批准号11CGL082)的阶段性成果 |
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| 摘 要： | 风险管理的基本思路是管理和控制危害的不确定性,以防止风险演变成公共危机并造成重大损失。风险管理的前提是把握风险因素的作用过程和发生机理,找到控制不确定性的路径和方法。本文提出风险叠加的分析框架,用以解释各类公共危机生成的内在机理和过程,并尝试将其运用到现实的公共危机管理各环节之中。
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| 关 键 词： | 公共危机 风险叠加 分析框架 |
The Public Crisis Analysis Framework Based on Risk Evolution: Method and Practice |
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| Rong Zhi is Associate Professor at Shanghai Administration Institute,Shanghai,;Li Ding. The Public Crisis Analysis Framework Based on Risk Evolution: Method and Practice[J]. Chinese Public Administration, 2012, 0(6): 82-86 |
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| Authors: | Rong Zhi is Associate Professor at Shanghai Administration Institute,Shanghai, Li Ding |
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| Affiliation: | is Lecturer at Southwestern University of Finance and Economics.Chengdu 610074 |
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| Abstract: | The logic of risk management is to prevent risk-evolution from public crisis and significant loss through the management and control of uncertainties.The precondition of risk management is to analyze the route and locus of risk for crisis and disaster,finding the method to control uncertainties.This paper presents the framework of "Risk-Superposition" so that we could explain the inner logic and process of crisis formation,applying it to public crisis management. |
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| Keywords: | public crisis risk-superposition analysis framework |
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