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Top-Down and Bottom-Up Lockdown: Evidence from COVID-19 Prevention and Control in China
Authors:Zhang  Xiaoming  Luo  Weijie  Zhu  Jingci
Institution:1.School of Public Policy & Management, Tsinghua University, Beijing, People’s Republic of China
;2.Economic Department, University of Chinese Academy of Social Sciences, Beijing, People’s Republic of China
;3.Center for China Fiscal Development, Central University of Finance and Economics, Beijing, People’s Republic of China
;4.Department of Economics and Related Studies, University of York, York, UK
;5.National School of Development, Peking University, Beijing, People’s Republic of China
;6.School of Foreign Studies, Central University of Finance and Economics, Beijing, People’s Republic of China
;
Abstract:

Utilizing national migration data regarding the outbreak of the novel coronavirus (2019-nCoV), this paper employs a difference-in-differences approach to empirically analyze the relationship between human mobility and the transmission of infectious diseases in China. We show that national human mobility restrictions ascribed to the first-level public health emergency response policy effectively reduce both intercity and intracity migration intensities, thus leading to a declining scale of human mobility, which improves the effectiveness in controlling the epidemic. Human mobility restrictions have greater influences on cities with better economic development, denser populations, or larger passenger volumes. Moreover, mobility restriction measures are found to be better implemented in regions with increased public awareness, or with provincial leaders who have healthcare crisis management experience, local administrative experience, or the opportunity to serve a consecutive term.

Keywords:
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