从军事安全角度看东盟五国的美国观

冷战结束后,东盟国家虽然对美国在地区安全中的作用曾存在较大的争议,但逐渐倾向一致的看法是:美国虽然不再是军事“保护者”,但仍然欢迎美国的军事存在,以发挥一种制衡和协调的作用。为何东盟国家将日本、中国和印度的崛起视为潜在的安全威胁,而总体上并不将美国这个超级大国视为安全威胁?结合沃尔持(Stephen M．Walt) “威胁平衡”理论,笔者认为,关键的因素是对“大国进攻性意图”的认知和防范心理。

ASEAN Countries' Perceptions of the U. S.: A Perspective of Military Security

After the end of the Cold War, there is no agreement among ASEAN countries on the U. S. role of security in Southeast Asia. However, they gradually reach a consensus that although the U. S. is no longer a military "protector", its military presence is still welcomed as a security balancer. Why ASEAN countries regard China, Japan and India as potential security threats but don't see the U. S as a threat at the same time? Using Stephen M. Walt's "balance oi threat" theory, this paper points out that ASEAN countries' perceptions of aggressive intentions of great powers play the critical role.