Candidate status, presidential approval, and voting for US senator |
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Authors: | Jeffrey W. Koch |
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Affiliation: | Department of Political Science, State University of New York at Geneseo, Geneseo, NY 14454, USA |
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Abstract: | This research tests whether the effects of assessments of presidential performance on the senate voting decision are largest for out-party incumbents and smaller for out-party incumbents and candidates in open-seat contests, a pattern suggested by the restricted in-party culpability thesis. Analysis of data from the 1988–1990–1992 Pooled Senate Election Study reveals that the effects of appraisals of presidential performance are greatest in open-seat contests and those with in-party incumbents, contrary to the restricted in-party culpability thesis. For incumbents of the out-party and candidates in open-seat contests, the effects of assessments of presidential performance are principally a function of the competitiveness of the contest. Assessments of presidential performance shape the voting decision in contests with in-party incumbents regardless of the level of electoral competitiveness. |
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Keywords: | US Senate elections In-party Electoral competitiveness Presidential approval |
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