Russia–EU relations at a crossroads: preventing a new Cold War in a polycentric world

In the past year, the Ukrainian crisis has generated an international discussion about a ‘new Cold War’. This article looks into the likelihood of such a scenario and makes suggestions of how it may be precluded. The course of events depends on whether the current model of globalization can be reversed. This would mean not only a change in the current structure of the global economy, but its dismantling. However, it is obvious that for most European and other states, the risks associated with such a policy outweigh potential geopolitical and economic benefits. The international order is in a state of flux. High risks are unacceptable when governments or nations pursue their interests in a stable environment. But when the balance of power shifts substantially, as it has now, the perception of risk threshold also begins to change. European history has shown that large-scale transformations in international relations in most cases triggered tension and violence, caused by rising demands of ascending powers and by resistance of those who were challenged. In the twenty-first century, the polycentric structure of the world provides an opportunity to achieve a new lasting global settlement, and to put an end to the current period of increasing tension.     

After the Ukrainian crisis: Is there a place for Russia?

Revolutionary protests in Ukraine in winter 2014 resulted in the annexation of Crimea by Russia, and an anti-terrorist operation launched by Kiev in eastern Ukraine. What was a totally internal manifestation of displeasure with governmental policy transformed into an international security crisis. While Kiev considers it a Russian–Ukrainian conflict, Moscow perceives it as a Russian–West confrontation, claiming that the crisis was provoked by NATO’s desire to enlarge into the region where Russia’s vital interests lie. The article analyses the sources of the current Ukrainian–Russian conflict and looks into Russia’s place in post-crisis Ukraine. As history has shown, even those states which used to fight each other for centuries managed not only to find peace but to establish constructive relationships. Still, with the shift from material to ideological confrontation, there are fewer and fewer options for compromise.     

Identification of Missing Norwegian World War II Soldiers,in Karelia Russia

This article presents the multidisciplinary effort in trying to identify the skeletal remains of 100 Norwegian soldiers serving in the German army, killed in Karelia Russia in 1944, from the recovery of the remains through the final identification using DNA. Of the 150 bone samples sent for DNA testing, 93 DNA profiles were obtained relating to 57 unique individuals. The relatives could not be directly contacted as the soldiers were considered as traitors to Norway; therefore, only 45 reference samples, relating to 42 cases of the missing, were donated. DNA matches for 14 soldiers and 12 additional body part re‐associations for these individuals were found. Another 24 bone samples were re‐associated with 16 individuals, but no familial match was found. More than six decades after the end of WWII, DNA analysis can significantly contribute to the identification of the remains.     

《俄罗斯联邦刑法典》中的资格刑规定述评

<俄罗斯联邦刑法典>由俄罗斯国家杜马1996年5月24日通过,联邦委员会于1996年6月5日批准,俄罗斯联邦总统于1996年6月13日批准,1997年1月1日起施行.资格刑在<俄罗斯联邦刑法典>中占有重要地位.本文对该法典有关资格刑的规定进行介绍并作简要评价,以期有助于我国资格刑立法的完善.     

The changes in the migration patterns in the post-Soviet states: the first decade

Following a short-term burst of migration activity after the dissolution of the USSR, the current situation is marked by the unusually low population territorial mobility, defined by both the political and, increasingly, the socioeconomic factors. While this trend indicates some degree of minority accommodation, it also demonstrates the depth of economic crisis and increasing socioeconomic differentiation. Visible also is the disproportionate influence exercised by Russia on the formation of migration flows in the region. Remaining the major recipient of migrants, Russia increasingly plays a role of supplier of labor migrants to the West, and acts as a “bridge” for those attempting to reach Western Europe. Meanwhile, Russia still lacks an effective legislative base, institutional mechanisms, and political will for dealing with the new migration flows.     

俄罗斯外交文化的特点及影响

俄罗斯由于其具有欧亚结合部的文明和地缘特点 ,因此 ,拥有十分独特的外交文化 ,即 :西方化和东方情结 ,不安全感和扩张、大国意识 ,意识形态和历史使命感 ,均势外交和强权。冷战后 ,国际环境、实力、地缘环境的变化 ,俄罗斯的外交文化受到很大冲击 ,给俄罗斯外交政策烙上了时代印记     

俄罗斯中期经济发展走势分析

1999年以来,俄罗斯经济呈现出恢复性增长趋势。在综合考虑俄国内外诸种因素的情况下,初步预测结果为:2003年俄GDP实际增长可能达到5%以上;2004年工业生产增长速度同比可能达到4.0%～4.5%;2005年农产品年均增长速度将在3%～5%之间;2004年俄出口同比将增长到1015亿～1020亿美元,进口630亿～635亿美元;2004年吸引外资将上升到150亿～170亿美元;卢布与美元的比率将达到36～37卢布兑1美元;2004年俄居民名义货币收入将同比增加16%～18%。     

俄罗斯民族意识的觉醒--西方派与斯拉夫派的辩论

俄国在18世纪进行了彼得大帝的改革。这种主要在物质层面上进行的改革延续到19世纪,引发了30年代末至50年代的西方派和斯拉夫派的大辩论。这场辩论主要涉及俄罗斯的命运、历史地位、历史使命及其应走的发展道路等重大问题,也波及到文学、哲学、宗教、艺术等各个领域。这场辩论标志着俄罗斯民族意识的觉醒,极大地推动了俄罗斯精神文化的发展,是19世纪俄罗斯文学登上世界高峰和独立的俄罗斯哲学出现的推动力。     

21世纪的中、日、俄木材区域贸易

中国和日本是世界传统的木材消费大国和进口大国 ,而俄罗斯是世界木材资源最丰富的国家之一 ,3国地理相近 ,贸易互补性极强 ,但研究表明 ,3国木材贸易的发展规模远未达到应有的水平。俄罗斯尽管在木材资源方面具备丰富的要素禀赋 ,但却在劳动力、资本、技术、信息、组织、制度等 6大要素方面存在严重短缺 ,而日本和中国在资本、信息、技术、组织、制度等 5要素方面具备资源禀赋。因 3国在组织和制度要素方面存在巨大差异 ,中国将在 2 1世纪的日俄木材贸易中发挥举足轻重的作用     

俄罗斯森林法若干基本理论问题研究

对他国法律的考察,重在解析其中所蕴含的理论问题,以找到理论与实践、“本土化”与借鉴之间的结合点。本文结合俄罗斯联邦森林立法和其他立法的具体实践,重点研究了俄罗斯联邦森林法的调整对象、森林关系的主体、客体及俄罗斯联邦的森林权属等几个基本理论问题,旨在为我国森林法律制度的建立、健全或完善提供有益的参考。