Russia-Georgia Conflict and Beyond

Yet another Post 9/11 historical event indicating a significant turning point in the Post-Cold War era, Russia-Georgia conflict represents a remarkable change in the international strategy of a resurgent Russia. It also signifies that former Soviet republics are still groping for a new identity and that a new round of realignment will persist in the vast Eurasia region. The conflict reveals declining U.S. global control, flawed European integration, and NATO embarrassment. To a certain extent, it exposes chaos brought about by international nonpolarity and world governance vacuum. It also highlights what serious consequences can a double standard inflict on the principles of international law. A reasonable arrangement for global security and economic growth is therefore challenging the resolve and wisdom of international strategists. Actually fierce geopolitical rivalry for energy resources is at work behind the Russia-Georgia conflict. This will further compound the international energy strategic environment.     

International System Transformation： History and Reality

The international system has undergone two major transformations in modern history, first from a loose, scattered regional pattern into a centrally unified global structure, then from British to American domination of such a global architecture. A third one is underway. East-West condominium will potentially replace the current US or West-led global order. Based on historical experience, this article attempts to make a forward-looking analysis of the way, direction and form of the unfolding trajectory through exploring the general law governing this process.     

Chaos and Change in Symbiosis:The World in 2010

The state of the world in 2010 can be summed up in a single word:symbiosis.Chaos and change feed on each other in a phenomenon that mirrors the tendency towards change in today’s international strategic landscape.This article attempts to create an overview of the most important features and trends of the situation by looking at shifts in major power relations,the rise of the Asia-Pacific region,geo-strategic upheavals,tension on the Korean peninsula,military security,world economy and China’s diplomacy.It asserts that chaos is not necessarily a bad thing.     

China Can Hardly Rule the World

Many assert that China will become a great power,if not a superpower,in the foreseeable future.Such sensational claims result from either ignorance or ulterior motives.The author seeks to refute this a...     

MAA for Asia-Pacific Harmony

Chinese President Hu Jintao's four-day (January 18-21,2011) state visit to the U.S.together with the Hu-Obama summit is an epoch-making event of far-reaching global significance at the start of the sec...     

The Global Strategic Picture in 2012

The international strategic landscape was highly volatile and complex in 2012, and there were a number of salient features worthy of special attention. These salient features will likely persist as basic trends of the global strategic picture in the coming five to ten years.     

China's Grand Strategy Seen from the Report to the CPC 18th National Congress

Clash of Opinions
Opinions vary over the question： ＂Does Beijing have a strategy. Both affirmative and negative answers have been heard. Witness the arguments for and against. The pros point to Mao Zedong＇s Ping-Pong diplomacy that shook the world by moving a big ball with a small one; Deng Xiaoping＇s Theory on reform and opening up, as well as his Three-Stage Development Strategy; and China＇s adherence to the path of peaceful development. Any one of these can be regarded as a grand strategy. On the con side, however, comes this sarcastic retort.＇ Just look at how the Middle Kingdom is kept constantly on the run responding to emergencies in foreign affairs without any internal coordination to speak of or any systemic approach to turn to. Is this not an eloquent testimony to the lack of a grand strategy？ Echoing this view, the former Australian prime minister, Kevin Rudd, in his recent article,     

The World in 2014:Peace and Development

The year 2014 was the centennial of World War I,and it was marked by chaos.Wild predictions that a new Cold War was coming,or even World War III were proved to be wholly wrong.The Cold War was a period marked by two military powers armed with nuclear and conventional weapons and engaged in an arms race.Their antagonistic ideologies were crossed swords.Today,the U.S.and Europe,are maybe on the same chorus,but they are singing different tunes,while Russia is a lonely soloist.More importantly,the U.S.,the only country that could really reignite汪Cold War,has shown no signs that it intends to do so.Ironically,U.S.President Barack Obama described Russia as a regional power,a thinly-veiled sarcasm,seeming to imply that Moscow is no longer